Brazil a 3-to-1 favorite to raise trophy at home
It took LVH Super Book assistant manager Jeff Sherman only two days after the completion of the 2010 World Cup in South Africa to post odds on the 2014 event in Brazil. Sherman posted numbers on 90 national teams to win, and after two years of betting action with two more to go, he’s down to 82 teams, with 50 more still to be eliminated through qualifying matches.
Brazil is the 3-to-1 favorite, followed by Spain (5-to-1), Argentina (5-to-1) and Germany (8-to-1). Sherman says there’s a huge drop off from the top four teams to the rest of the field.
Brazil gets the edge simply because of playing at home, according to Sherman. Brazil last hosted the World Cup in 1950, losing to Uruguay in the final match, but has been dominant in many of the tournaments played outside of Europe and Africa.
Three of Brazil’s five World Cup titles have been won in the Americas -- 1994 (USA), 1970 (Mexico) and 1962 (Chile). They also win it all in 2002 in Korea/Japan and in 1958 in Sweden.
Spain became the first European team to win the World Cup away from Europe when La Roja won in South Africa in 2010.
Beyond the comfort of playing at home in front of their own fans and going about their daily routine in familiar surroundings, the Brazilians will also have the big advantage in officiating. There’s nothing in FIFA's official handbook that states every close call goes to the home team, but it’s been clear in recent events that the officials are greatly influenced by the home crowd.
The drop off after the big four goes to the Netherlands and Italy at 15-to-1. The under-performing England squad is 20-to-1, Uruguay and France are 25-to-1, with Mexico and Portugal are 30-to-1.
Sherman sees Mexico as a team that could surprise and provide some value.
“I expect Mexico to perform well in 2014," he said. "They already have an outstanding team and they’ll be adding a few of the players that just won the 17-and-under World Cup.”
The Stars and Stripes of the United States, managed by Jurgen Klinsmann -- a key member of the West Germany squad that won the Cup in 1990 -- are listed at 60-to-1.
The biggest moves over the past two years of action have seen Belgium drop from 250-to-1 down to 25-to-1 and Columbia from 100-to-1 down to 30-to-1.
Nevada sports books won’t come close to handling the type of action that England sees on the World Cup, but bettors are warming up to soccer more than ever before. Handle continues to rise as American bettors get more acclimated with the game, a game some say is too slow for their liking.
It also helps that networks such as Fox and ESPN are doing a great job of promoting the games and showing them all live. If there's a live event on television, no matter what the sport, American bettors want action on it.
Here's a look at the odds for every team posted at the LVH Super Book:
2014 WORLD CUP - ODDS TO WIN:
BRAZIL 3/1
ARGENTINA 5/1
SPAIN 5/1
GERMANY 8/1
THE NETHERLANDS 15/1
ITALY 15/1
ENGLAND 20/1
FRANCE 25/1
PORTUGAL 30/1
URUGUAY 25/1
CHILE 50/1
USA 60/1
PARAGUAY 150/1
MEXICO 30/1
IVORY COAST 80/1
RUSSIA 50/1
CROATIA 60/1
GHANA 100/1
SERBIA 150/1
SWEDEN 150/1
TURKEY 250/1
CZECH REPUBLIC 200/1
ECUADOR 150/1
CAMEROON 250/1
UKRAINE 250/1
COLOMBIA 30/1
DENMARK 200/1
POLAND 250/1
JAPAN 150/1
AUSTRALIA 200/1
NIGERIA 250/1
SOUTH KOREA 250/1
EGYPT 250/1
NORWAY 500/1
BOSNIA-HERZEGOVINA 500/1
PERU 500/1
SWITZERLAND 200/1
REPUBLIC OF IRELAND 500/1
GREECE 500/1
SLOVAKIA 500/1
ROMANIA 500/1
BOLIVIA 1000/1
SENEGAL 500/1
BULGARIA 500/1
SLOVENIA 1000/1
AUSTRIA 500/1
HUNGARY 500/1
TOGO 2500/1
ALGERIA 1000/1
BELGIUM 25/1
VENEZUELA 250/1
SOUTH AFRICA 500/1
TUNISIA 1000/1
MOROCCO 1000/1
CONGO DR 1000/1
COSTA RICA 2000/1
SUDAN 1000/1
ZIMBABWE 1000/1
IRAN 1000/1
SCOTLAND 5000/1
JAMAICA 1000/1
LATVIA 5000/1
ANGOLA 2000/1
ISRAEL 2000/1
PANAMA 2000/1
GUINEA 2500/1
WALES 2500/1
HONDURAS 1500/1
UZBEKISTAN 5000/1
LITHUANIA 5000/1
UGANDA 1000/1
IRAQ 5000/1
FINLAND 5000/1
MONTENEGRO 500/1
GABON 2000/1
NEW ZEALAND 2000/1
BELARUS 5000/1
NORTHERN IRELAND 5000/1
MOLDOVA 5000/1
ESTONIA 1000/1
NORTH KOREA 1000/1
ICELAND 2000/1
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